perm filename HOTER.1[CUR,JMC] blob
sn#170695 filedate 1975-07-29 generic text, type T, neo UTF8
00100 SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC PRESUPPOSITIONS
00200
00300
00400 Any argument that a proposed innovation is good or bad must
00500 be based on some general views as to what changes in people's lives
00600 are good or bad, however vague these views may be. In this section
00700 I will make my views rather more explicit than is customary. I
00800 think that acceptance of these views together with the technological
00900 proposition that the proposed systems are feasible at reasonable
01000 cost are sufficient to justify the proposals. However, people
01100 who disagree with the social and economic presuppositions may
01200 still like home terminals for other reasons.
01300
01400 1. When people choose one of two alternatives and persist
01500 in the choice after experience with both alternatives, then it should
01600 be presumed that they are better off with the alternative they choose.
01700 Social science is not so far advanced and politicians are not so
01800 objective as to justify refusing people their preferred alternatives
01900 on the grounds that the sociologists or the government know best.
02000 (Of course, someone may be refused his preferred alternative on the
02100 grounds that it harms someone else). This has several consequences:
02200
02300 a. It is almost never harmful for a new product or
02400 service to become available provided the old ones remain available.
02500
02600 b. If people move from an area that sociologists
02700 or political thinkers consider good to one they consider bad, then
02800 the sociologists and political thinkers are probably wrong. Thus
02900 Los Angeles with its smog, freeways, and lack of public transportation
03000 must have some redeeming virtues, or people wouldn't keep moving there.
03100
03200 c. Proposed changes in institutions can be tested
03300 by implementing them in a locality and seeing which way people move.
03400 If the tests are to be honest, projected costs must be charged.
03500
03600 d. Suppose an activity produces several goods. The
03700 cost of the activity have to be allocated among the goods, and in this,
03800 there is a certain amount of arbitrariness. The price should never
03900 be higher than the traffic will bear, i.e. the service should not
04000 be compulsory, and it should not be less than the marginal cost of
04100 providing it. The latter is true, because suppose a service costs
04200 $2 to provide and is sold to a certain group for $1. Then the customer
04300 who is barely willing to pay $1, would be happier to receive $.50 in
04400 cash and not receive the subsidized price. The cost to society is
04500 also less that way.
04600
04700 2. The most important cost in our society is human labor and
04800 will remain that way for the time span considered. People want to
04900 more money to buy goods and services and would like to work less in
05000 order to earn it in order to have more leisure. This means, for example,
05100 `that labor costs are still much higher than energy or raw materials
05200 costs in almost any goods or services, and labor is still the primary
05300 cost to be economized. Therefore, increases to productivity benefit
05400 society on the average even though they may harm particular groups
05500 whose activities are made obsolete. However, the cost of an innovation
05600 must include the cost of adequately compensating those whose
05700 economic position is displaced.
05800
05900 3. The economic system can adapt itself to future increases
06000 in productivity in the future just as it has in the past. There is a
06100 servo-mechanism that does this rather than an accidental balance
06200 between old jobs lost and new jobs created. A particular innovation
06300 should not be asked to create jobs.
06400
06500 On the other hand, when an innovation displaces people, it is
06600 important to see just who will be displaced and how they might be
06700 compensated.
06800 We shall do it in the next section.